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Trading Stops for Nifty 50 Stocks: 03.11.2014

Close Company Stop (1Day) (5D) (21D) (63D)
1499.25    ACC 1436.76 0.15 1.07 7.16 2.45
227.65    AMBUJACEM 211.65 1.77 4.64 10.00 4.35
439.40    AXISBANK 415.48 2.14 3.69 16.29 10.03
2611.05    BAJAJ-AUTO 2431.48 1.30 3.22 11.07 23.82
929.50    BANKBARODA 866.29 1.94 4.53 4.76 5.29
256.70    BHEL 240.76 0.63 6.78 26.42 8.63
724.75    BPCL 684.08 3.23 4.87 16.84 20.19
666.55    CIPLA 594.70 2.45 6.06 9.55 51.64
370.55    COALINDIA 336.55 2.96 5.18 6.86 -3.82
124.75    DLF 101.55 0.48 4.00 -19.83 -41.68
3168.30    DRREDDY 2892.09 2.37 3.62 -4.29 17.16
528.80    GAIL 470.96 3.55 9.79 17.03 22.93
3508.05    GRASIM 3289.27 1.93 2.61 -0.99 5.61
1105.90    HDFC 999.56 3.87 7.21 4.66 6.72
911.85    HDFCBANK 863.19 1.70 1.72 7.28 8.26
3064.25    HEROMOTOCO 2927.65 1.08 -1.47 4.48 20.73
163.70    HINDALCO 141.43 2.09 9.68 9.76 -17.32
1626.65    ICICIBANK 1533.82 0.78 3.26 11.01 7.98
156.30    IDFC 141.27 5.43 6.87 13.34 -1.26
4051.25    INFY 3654.86 2.65 6.47 9.76 19.78
355.20    ITC 344.24 0.08 1.37 -5.69 -0.35
161.80    JINDALSTEL 135.82 1.83 -2.41 -7.49 -45.00
31.15    JPASSOCIAT 24.49 2.81 3.49 20.74 -49.76
1118.25    KOTAKBANK 1026.34 2.22 5.34 8.73 19.13
1655.45    LT 1511.80 3.61 6.22 14.40 -0.48
3337.25    MARUTI 3043.49 2.99 5.43 9.16 33.56
150.10    NTPC 141.33 2.04 2.32 10.00 0.27
145.80    POWERGRID 136.00 0.93 4.25 7.21 8.28
1000.55    RELIANCE 912.95 2.18 5.02 7.60 -3.89
637.20    RELINFRA 543.18 6.64 9.95 6.49 -16.09
2702.80    SBIN 2545.03 2.46 4.82 13.67 5.70
873.20    SIEMENS 802.56 1.70 1.67 6.61 -4.80
845.40    SUNPHARMA 794.66 2.02 4.36 9.19 12.99
535.85    TATAMOTORS 477.71 1.69 3.92 6.25 10.43
93.85    TATAPOWER 86.78 3.53 6.59 12.40 -9.24
490.00    TATASTEEL 438.37 3.27 6.73 6.43 -13.75
2548.45    ULTRACEMCO 2335.20 1.44 4.73 -0.99 2.58
Close Company Stop (1Day) (5D) (21D) (63D)
1608.40    HCLTECH 1652.28 2.01 5.42 -5.86 1.64
2607.85    TCS 2627.44 1.94 5.78 -3.72 0.49
563.70    WIPRO 568.81 0.62 0.62 -3.24 -2.28

Long term association with Stock Markets will de-risk your investment process:

Long Term is the mantra:

If you stay for long term your chances of loosing money will be reduced substantially. Patience is always rewarded. Below chart tells the whole story of the Indian stock market. If you stay above 10 year period your annualized returns will be above 15% (Sure, I hope you stick to our rule no:1 staying with quality stocks ) and your risk of capital erosion is totally eliminated.

As per income tax assessment or calculations 1 year is a long term and that wont attract any capital gains tax. But most of the investors fail to make capital gains in a year and the following table tells us 11 out of 32 years are loss making years in the capital market and even that risk continues if you stay in the market 5 years or so. If the investor extends his time horizon to much long period his risk levels comes down substantially and when the investor opts for very long term like10 to 15 years or more risk is almost eliminated.

Pledge Shares  by promoters acts like time bombs in Bearish Times:

The period from 1993 to 2003 is worst for the Indian stock market and also for people who involved in it. Biggest victims are almost all NBFC companies; Stock broking firms, Morgan Stanley mutual fund, UTI, and GTB. I can fairly assume that the same will repeat every time market crashes, In coming bearish times pledge shares by promoters act like time bombs and destroys promoters and share holders wealth. Recent example is KSOIL which fell to Rs.7 from Rs.50. Never invest in the companies if promoter shares pledged, unless they are very reliable like Tata Group.

The following table tells how the long term investor has an edge over short term player:

% figures are average annual returns if one stays for that long period.

No

YEAR ending

Mar’31

SENSEX

1-YEAR

3-YEAR

5-YEAR

10-YEAR

15-YEAR

20-YEAR

0

1979

100

1

1980

129

29%

2

1981

173

35%

3

1982

217

26%

30%

4

1983

212

-3%

18%

5

1984

245

16%

12%

20%

6

1985

354

44%

18%

22%

7

1986

574

62%

39%

27%

8

1987

510

-11%

28%

19%

9

1988

398

-22%

4%

13%

10

1989

714

79%

8%

24%

22%

11

1990

781

9%

15%

17%

20%

12

1991

1168

50%

43%

15%

21%

13

1992

4285

267%

82%

53%

35%

14

1993

2281

-47%

43%

42%

27%

15

1994

3779

66%

48%

40%

31%

27%

16

1995

3261

-14%

-9%

33%

25%

24%

17

1996

3367

3%

14%

24%

19%

22%

18

1997

3361

0%

-4%

-5%

21%

20%

19

1998

3893

16%

6%

11%

26%

21%

20

1999

3740

-4%

4%

0%

18%

20%

20%

21

2000

5001

34%

14%

9%

20%

19%

20%

22

2001

3604

-28%

-3%

1%

12%

13%

16%

23

2002

3468

-4%

-2%

1%

-2%

14%

15%

24

2003

3049

-12%

-15%

-5%

3%

15%

14%

25

2004

5528

81%

15%

8%

4%

15%

17%

26

2005

6492

17%

23%

5%

7%

15%

16%

27

2006

11280

74%

55%

26%

13%

16%

16%

28

2007

13072

16%

33%

30%

15%

8%

18%

29

2008

15644

20%

34%

39%

15%

14%

20%

30

2009

9708

-38%

-5%

12%

10%

7%

14%

31

2010

17527

80%

11%

22%

13%

12%

17%

32

2011

19445

11%

8%

11%

18%

13%

15%

Probability of Loss

11/32

6/30

3/28

1/23

0/18

0/13

Avg.return

27%

19%

18%

17%

16%

17%

Avg.return+Div Yield

29%

21%

20%

19%

18%

19%

Benchmark index SENSEX has started in the year 1979 with base level 100. When we compiled all the data from the March’ 1979 to March’2011, found some interesting points which are discussed below:

1. Risk can be totally avoided if you are a long term investor.

2. 17% + Returns are assured if you stay for more than 10 years, so one can beat the inflation easily.

3. Dividends are added advantage for the long term player.

4. Because you are a long term player your returns are tax free.

What is the game plan now for investing:

1. Be a long term player.

2. Stick to Quality stocks. Unable to find or confused to find some just invest in Index ETFs.

3. Wait for the dips, allocate more funds when the Index PE trading low and less if Index PE is more.

4. Never take a loan for your investments, because even long term investor getting only 17% -19% returns. So most of the returns will be taken away by the interest component.

If you are willing take the advantage from market, must be a long term player with a common sense approach. One must always remember THE RULE for the investment game “Preserve your capital at all the times” and there is no welfare plan for the people who lose in the stock market.

Ten Best Stocks of the Year 2011

 

COMPANY

PRICE ON 

PRICE ON 

CHANGE

52-WEEK HIGH/

Nov 04, 2011 (Rs)

Nov 04, 2010 (Rs)

(%)

LOW (Rs)

IDEA

97.80

67.00

46.00%

101 / 57

Petronet

170.45

119.75

42.30%

183 / 109

GMDC

188.15

141.00

33.40%

192 / 105

HindLever

378.85

297.85

27.20%

388 / 267

Nestle

4498.65

3574.00

25.90%

4,497 / 3,210

Colgate

1075.90

890.00

20.90%

1,058 / 791

Bharti Airtel

397.95

330.00

20.60%

443 / 307

ITC

210.35

176.10

19.40%

216 / 153

ASIAN PAINTS

3217.55

2728.00

17.90%

3,338 / 2,418

Praj Industris

84.45

71.80

17.60%

94 / 65

SENSEX

17562.61

20605.63

-14.80%

21,046 / 15,968

NIFTY

5284.20

6209.60

-14.90%

6,335 / 4,791


IPOs Issued and Listed in the year 2007:

 

Sr. No.

Name of the issue

Issue Price

Date of

Listing

1

Precision Pipes and Profiles Company Limited

150

11-Jan-08

2

PORWAL AUTO COMPONENTS LIMITED

75

*

3

MANAKSIA LIMITED

160

08-Jan-08

4

ARIES AGRO LIMITED

130

11-Jan-08

5

BRIGADE ENTERPRISES LIMITED

390

31-Dec-07

6

Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Limited

465

28-Dec-07

7

BGR ENERGY SYSTEMS LIMITED

480

03-Jan-08

8

ECLERX SERVICES LIMITED

315

31-Dec-07

9

JYOTHY LABORATORIES LIMITED

690

19-Dec-07

10

KAUSHALYA INFRASTRUCTURE

60

14-Dec-07

11

KOLTE PATIL DEVELOPERS LIMITED

145

13-Dec-07

12

RENAISSANCE JEWELLERY LIMITED

150

12-Dec-07

13

EDELWEISS CAPITAL LIMITED

825

12-Dec-07

14

MundraPortand Special Economic Zone

440

27-Nov-07

15

EMPEE DISTILLERIES LIMITED

400

26-Nov-07

16

Religare Enterprises Limited

185

21-Nov-07

17

BARAK VALLEY CEMENTS LIMITED

42

23-Nov-07

18

SVPCL LTD

42

*

19

Maytas Infra Limited

370

25-Oct-07

20

Supreme Infrastructure India Limited

108

18-Oct-07

21

Koutons Retail India Limited

415

12-Oct-07

22

Consolidated Construction Consortium

510

15-Oct-07

23

Kaveri Seed Company Limited

170

04-Oct-07

24

Dhanus Technologies Limited

295

17-Oct-07

25

Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd.

52

05-Oct-07

26

IT PEOPLE (INDIA) LTD

*

*

27

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

825

11-Sep-07

28

Indowind Energy Limited

65

14-Sep-07

29

Magnum Ventures Limited

30

20-Sep-07

30

SEL Manufacturing Company Limited

90

21-Aug-07

31

Asian Granito India Limited

97

23-Aug-07

32

TAKE Solutions Limited

730

27-Aug-07

33

K.P.R. Mill Limited

225

28-Aug-07

34

Purvankara Projects Limited

400

30-Aug-07

35

Central Bank ofIndia

102

21-Aug-07

36

IVR Prime Urban Developers Limited

550

16-Aug-07

37

Omnitech Infosolutions Limited

105

14-Aug-07

38

Zylog Systems Limited

350

17-Aug-07

39

Omaxe Limited

310

09-Aug-07

40

Alpa Laboratories Limited

68

06-Aug-07

41

Simplex Projects Limited

185

03-Aug-07

42

Everonn Systems India Limited

140

01-Aug-07

43

Allied Digital Services Limited

190

25-Jul-07

44

Bharat Earth Movers Limited

1075

05-Nov-03

45

HDIL

500

24-Jul-07

46

Suryachakra Power Corporation Limited

20

*

47

Ankit Metal & Power Limited

36

*

48

ICICI Bank Limited

940

*

49

Roman Tarmat Limited

175

09-Jul-07

50

DLF Limited

525

05-Jul-07

51

Vishal Retail Limited

270

04-Jul-07

52

Nelcast Limited

219

27-Jun-07

53

Meghmani Organics Limited

19

28-Jun-07

54

Decolight Ceramics Limited

54

19-Jun-07

55

Time Technoplast Limited

315

13-Jun-07

56

Nitin Fire Protection Industries Limited

190

05-Jun-07

57

Asahi Songwon Colors Limited

*

29-Aug-11

58

Insecticides (India) Limited

115

30-May-07

59

Binani Cement Limited

75

28-May-07

60

MIC Electronics Limited

150

30-May-07

61

Bhagwati Banquets & Hotels Limited

40

17-May-07

62

Fortis Healthcare Limited

108

09-May-07

63

Ammana Bio Pharma Limited

*

*

64

Advanta India Limited

640

19-Apr-07

65

ICRA Limited

330

13-Apr-07

66

Orbit Corporation Limited

110

12-Apr-07

67

Gremach Infrastructure Equipments

86

*

68

Abhishek Mills Limited

100

19-Mar-07

69

Tubeknit Fashions Limited

*

*

70

Page Industries Limited

360

16-Mar-07

71

Raj Television Network Limited

257

16-Mar-07

72

AMD Metplast Limited

75

19-Mar-07

73

Vijayeswari Textiles Limited

100

*

74

Idea Cellular Limited

75

09-Mar-07

75

Evinix Accessories Limited

120

07-Mar-07

76

Mudra Lifestyle Limited

90

09-Mar-07

77

Oriental Trimex Limited

48

07-Mar-07

78

MindTree Consulting Limited

425

07-Mar-07

79

Broadcast Initiatives Limited

120

07-Mar-07

80

Indus Fila Limited

170

08-Mar-07

81

Euro Ceramics Limited

165

09-Mar-07

82

Indian Bank

91

01-Mar-07

83

C & C Constructions Limited

291

26-Feb-07

84

SMS Pharmaceuticals Limited

380

28-Feb-07

85

Power Finance Corporation Limited

85

23-Feb-07

86

Transwarranty Finance Limited

52

26-Feb-07

87

Firstsource Solutions Limited

64

22-Feb-07

88

Redington (India) Limited

113

15-Feb-07

89

Cinemax India Limited

155

14-Feb-07

90

Technocraft Industries (India) Limited

105

12-Feb-07

91

House of Pearl Fashions Limited

550

15-Feb-07

92

Akruti Nirman Limited

540

07-Feb-07

93

Global Broadcast News Limited

250

08-Feb-07

94

Pochiraju Industries Limited

30

09-Feb-07

95

Autoline Industries Limited

225

31-Jan-07

* Issue cancelled due to poor response / bad market condition

IPOs Issued and Listed in the Year 2006:

 

Sr. No.

Name of the issue

Issue Price

Date of

Listing

1

Shree Ashtavinayak Cine Vision

160

10-Jan-07

2

Pyramid Saimira Theatre Limited

100

05-Jan-07

3

Cairn India Limited

160

09-Jan-07

4

Tanla Solutions Limited

265

05-Jan-07

5

Ess Dee Aluminium Limited

225

28-Dec-06

6

Nissan Copper Limited

39

29-Dec-06

7

XL Telecom Limited

150

28-Dec-06

8

L.T.Overseas Limited

56

18-Dec-06

9

Sobha Developers Limited

640

20-Dec-06

10

Ruchira Papers Limited

23

20-Dec-06

11

Blue Bird (India) Limited

105

11-Dec-06

12

Parsvnath Developers Limited

300

30-Nov-06

13

Lanco Infratech Limited

240

27-Nov-06

14

Info Edge (India) Limited

320

21-Nov-06

15

Global Vectra Helicorp Limited

185

27-Oct-06

16

Development Credit Bank Limited

26

27-Oct-06

17

Accel Frontline Limited

75

30-Oct-06

18

Hanung Toys and Textiles Limited

95

20-Oct-06

19

Minar International Limited

*

*

20

JHS Svendgaard Laboratories

58

21-Oct-06

21

Gayatri Projects Limited

141

22-Aug-11

22

FIEM Industries Limited

137

19-Oct-06

23

GwaliorChemical Industries

81

04-Oct-06

24

HOV Services Limited

200

27-Sep-06

25

Atlanta Limited

150

25-Sep-06

26

Action Construction Equipment

130

26-Sep-06

27

Voltamp Transformers Limited

345

20-Sep-06

28

GMR Infrastructure Limited

210

21-Aug-06

29

Tech Mahindra Limited

365

28-Aug-06

30

Shirdi Industries Limited

*

*

31

Vigneshwara Exports Limited

*

*

32

Allcargo Global Logistics

675

23-Jun-06

33

Prime Focus Limited

417

20-Jun-06

34

Deccan Aviation Limited

148

12-Jun-06

35

Rathi Udyog Limited

50

*

36

Unity Infraprojects Limited

675

12-Jun-06

37

Gangotri Textiles Limited

41

Follow on Issue

38

Patel Engineering Limited

440

Follow on Issue

39

D. S. Kulkarni Developers

275

Follow on Issue

40

Reliance Petroleum Limited

60

11-May-06

41

Plethico Pharmaceuticals

300

05-May-06

42

Lokesh Machines Limited

140

05-May-06

43

Sun TV Limited

875

24-Apr-06

44

Emkay Share and Stock Brokers

120

28-Apr-06

45

Opto Circuits (India) Limited

270

Follow on issue

46

Godawari Power and Ispat

81

25-Apr-06

47

R Systems International

250

26-Apr-06

48

Tantia Constructions Limited

*

19-Feb-08

49

Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited

260

13-Apr-06

50

Uttam Sugar Mills Limited

340

10-Apr-06

51

Adhunik Metaliks Limited

37

05-Apr-06

52

Solar Explosives Limited

190

03-Apr-06

53

Visa Steel Limited

57

17-Mar-06

54

NITCO Tiles Limited

168

21-Mar-06

55

J. K. Cement Limited

148

14-Mar-06

56

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial

200

17-Mar-06

57

B. L. Kashyap & Sons Limited

685

17-Mar-06

58

Pratibha Industries Limited

120

16-Mar-06

59

K Sera Sera Productions Limited

68

05-Oct-06

60

Gitanjali Gems Limited

195

10-Mar-06

61

Union Bank ofIndia

110

Follow on issue

62

The South Indian Bank

66

Follow on issue

63

Sadbhav Engineering Limited

185

01-Mar-06

64

GVK Power & Infrastructure

310

27-Feb-06

65

INOX Leisure Limited

120

23-Feb-06

66

Jagran Prakashan Limited

320

22-Feb-06

67

Gujarat State Petronet Limited

27

16-Feb-06

68

Entertainment Network (India)

162

15-Feb-06

69

Andhra Bank

90

Follow on issue

70

Bank ofBaroda

230

Follow on issue

71

Raj Rayon Limited

65

04-Jan-07

72

Royal Orchid Hotels Limited

165

06-Feb-06

73

Nitin Spinners Limited

21

02-Feb-06